This is another one of those games that has ugly written all over it.  The only thing that stands out in this matchup is how bad the Texans have been against the run.  The Bills will need Spiller to take advantage of this weakness and exploit it with his explosiveness.  Fred Jackson will also see his touches this week without a doubt.  If the Bills can establish a running game early, it will obviously help them take control and win this game.  The Texans are beat up and most likely without Arian Foster, meaning Blue will have to carry the load but once again.  So I have two X-Factors in this game that will most likely predict the outcome; Foster and Sammy Watkins.  If Foster does not play or plays in a limited role, the Texans will struggle to win this home game.  If Watkins goes off and compliments the running game for Buffalo, the Bills pull off the road win.  If both Foster is out and Watkins beasts it out, the Bills win in fashion.  But I do like the Texans at home, I like their defense a lot, and I think they will give EJ Manuel a tough time.  Manuel has an abdomen issue going on right now and don't think for one second JJ Watt doesn't have a bulls eye on it.  This game will most likely be an offensive mess on both ends, with the best defense flexing for the victory.  And any team that has JJ Watt on the defensive (and offensive), side of the ball will usually win the defensive battle.  Texans win at home in a close one, but the Bills without a doubt have a chance to take this one.

TEXANS 20 - BILLS 17

FANTASY BEAST: CJ SPILLER