That’s an awfully large spread for a team that just got crushed last week against Dallas and playing a team that looked pretty darn good on the road.  Yes, the Saints should beat the Bucs by double digits at home this week, but they have not looked good this season.  But then again, neither have the Bucs.  But with Tampa Bay’s come from behind victory last week against the Steelers should give them some momentum coming into this week.  The Saints on the other hand really need a big win, but this could turn out to be a difficult matchup for them.  Since 2001, the Saints are 14-11 against the Bucs (but obviously the Saints have been the much better team during that duration).  So that should show that this is not a guaranteed win for the Saints.  But, and this is a huge but, the Saints have beaten the Bucs 110 to 33 in the last three games played in New Orleans.  The last two games in the dome against Tampa Bay were 42 to 17 and 41 to 0.  Both defenses are playing really bad this year, but the biggest difference between these two teams is the yards in the air.  The Saints are averaging 295 passing yards per game (thanks to Drew Brees and Jimmy Graham), and the Bucs are only averaging 194.  Now I definitely expect Mike Glennon to throw for more than 200 yards this week, especially if they are playing catchup, but I don’t see him doing enough to take down Brees.  This is a huge spread, but unless the Bucs can get their ground game going and keep Brees off of the field, the Saints could definitely put some points up on the board against a very suspect Tampa defense.

SAINTS 38 - BUCS 27

FANTASY BEASTS - BREES TO GRAHAM